{"id":247,"date":"2010-09-29T16:12:28","date_gmt":"2010-09-29T14:12:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/astronomy.lamost.org\/blog\/?p=247"},"modified":"2010-09-29T16:12:28","modified_gmt":"2010-09-29T14:12:28","slug":"%e5%81%87%e8%ae%be%e6%8e%a8%e6%96%ad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/astronomy.lamost.org\/blog\/?p=247","title":{"rendered":"\u5047\u8bbe\u63a8\u65ad"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>strictly frequentist method \u662f \u7528\u4f3c\u7136\u6bd4\uff0c\u75282\u79cd\u9519\u8bef\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u5907\u62e9\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u4e0d\u4f7f\u7528\u9a8c\u524d\u5206\u5e03\u3002<br style=\"line-height: 20px;\" \/>The Bayesian would form posterior probabilities:\u3002Bayesian \u53ea\u5229\u7528\u9a8c\u524d\u5206\u5e03\u56de\u7b54\u67d0\u79cd\u4e8b\u60c5\u53d1\u751f\u4e2a\u6982\u7387\uff08\u9a8c\u540e\u5206\u5e03\uff09\uff0c\u4e0d\u505a\u5907\u62e9\u5047\u8bbe\u5224\u65ad\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u88ab\u564e\u6b7b\u4e0d\u80fd\u505a\u5047\u8bbe\u63a8\u65ad\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u53d1\u751f\u6982\u7387\u662f95%\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f94%,\u4f60\u80fd\u62d2\u7edd\u5565\u5462\uff1f<br style=\"line-height: 20px;\" \/><br style=\"line-height: 20px;\" \/>\u5173\u952e\u662f\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8efrequestist \u6765\u8bf4\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u566a\u58f0\u7684\u4f3c\u7136\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u5373\u65f6\u77e5\u9053\u4e86\uff0c\u5f97\u5230\u4f3c\u7136\u6bd4\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u8868\u8fbe\u5f0f\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u80fd\uff0c\u786e\u5b9athreshold<br style=\"line-height: 20px;\" \/>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u88ab\u564e\u6b7b\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u9a8c\u524d\u5206\u5e03\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u90a3\u4e48\u597d\u5f97\u5230\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u56de\u7b54\uff0c\u2026\u2026<br style=\"line-height: 20px;\" \/><br style=\"line-height: 20px;\" \/>\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5728\u5b87\u5b99\u5b66\u5c3a\u5ea6\uff0cBayesian\u66f4\u6709\u610f\u4e49\uff1f<br style=\"line-height: 20px;\" \/><br style=\"line-height: 20px;\" \/>\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6211\u63a5\u53d7\u4e86 \u88ab\u564e\u6b7b\u7684\u54f2\u5b66\uff1f<br style=\"line-height: 20px;\" \/>\u4e16\u754c\u662f\u72ec\u7acb\u4e8e\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u8fd8\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u611f\u77e5\u7684\uff1f\u56de\u7b54\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u663e\u7136\u88ab\u564e\u6b7b\uff0c\u548cfrequentist \u67092\u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>strictly frequentist method \u662f \u7528\u4f3c\u7136\u6bd4\uff0c\u75282\u79cd\u9519\u8bef\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u5907\u62e9\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u4e0d\u4f7f\u7528\u9a8c\u524d&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-247","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-20"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/astronomy.lamost.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/247","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/astronomy.lamost.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/astronomy.lamost.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/astronomy.lamost.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/astronomy.lamost.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=247"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/astronomy.lamost.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/247\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":248,"href":"http:\/\/astronomy.lamost.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/247\/revisions\/248"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/astronomy.lamost.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/astronomy.lamost.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=247"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/astronomy.lamost.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}